Almost daily Corner bashing part 2

Based on the conservative uproar over the survival (thus far) of higher CAFE standards in the Senate energy bill, that these city-dwelling pundits were mountain-dwelling SUV drivers. Somehow I don't think that's the case. But you have to wonder based on a case against higher CAFE standards that's this weak:

The measure is problematic for several reasons. For one thing, it would limit consumer choice. As David Holt of the Indiana Chamber of Commerce told the Indy Star, "There's no way [automakers would] probably be able to produce SUVs," under the new standards. For another, it would make cars more expensive. A 2002 National Research Council study estimated that new fuel-efficiency standards would increase the sticker price on automobiles by anywhere from $1,000 to $3,500.

But more troubling is that study's finding that, although CAFE standards enacted in the 1970s reduced auto emissions, they increased traffic fatalities. The study looked at the year 1993, and a majority of its authors found that CAFE standards resulted in between 1,300 and 2,600 preventable traffic deaths in that year because, in order to meet the new fuel-efficiency standards, automakers had been downsizing and downweighting most cars, which made them less safe in collisions.

I'll not address the "limit consumer choice" point, because it's basically pablum--at best exaggerated, and at worst entirely untrue. And, moreover, arguments about "consumer choice" are only really relevant when those choices don't particularly cause harm to the commons.

But the other two arguments are worth a thorough dismantling. For one, part of the benefit of a highly fuel efficient auto fleet, particularly in an era of expensive gasoline, are the savings accrued over time. Significantly increase fleet efficiency and--with, say, regulations requiring vendors to note expected savings per year--peoples' concerns about car prices would largely disappear.

The other point is just unbelievably disingenuous, and not simply because it misconstrues the study's findings : It ignores extraordinary improvements in vehicle safety over the last decade and a half; it ignores the fact that, in 1993, because small cars were by today's standards unsafe, ever larger cars were causing the fatalities; and it ignores the impressive possibility that--as higher gas prices and toothy CAFE standards push SUVs off the road--driving will become safer than it is now.

The study Spruiell sites--though you'd never guess it from the tone of his post--was absolutely agog about both the higher CAFE standards of the post-oil crisis era, and the potential for higher CAFE standards to be still more effective over time.

Comments

Ah, bow down to the god of consumer choice [disregard the dozens of makers, nameplates and models, please - we have almost as many vehicle choices as we do breakfast cereals].

I'll bet the bill opponents cry themselves to sleep because they can't buy a M1-A1 Abrams tank to commute to work and pick up the kids from school.

This new goal is pitifully weak and a shame to our country.

Posted by: JimPortlandOR on June 22, 2007 02:24 AM

Sorry I'm getting to this late.

1. Arguments about consumer choice are "exaggerated" or "untrue" or "[ir]relevant" when they cause "harm to the commons." Yet later in the post: "toothy CAFE standards push SUVs off the road..." Tell me Brian, which is it? Are my arguments about consumer choice exaggerated, untrue, or irrelevant, given what you believe you know about "toothy CAFE standards"?

2. I acknowledged that the study found that "CAFE standards enacted in the 1970s reduced auto emissions" -- one needn't agree with every finding of a study to cite one of its conclusions. I also linked to the study. As for advances in auto safety, the bottom line is that the cheapest way to make a car more fuel efficient is to make it lighter. Without even more regulations, car companies will make cars lighter, and those cars will be more vulnerable in collisions with SUVs.

But I thought those concerns about consumer choice were almost entirely untrue! Please help me Brian. Help me understand how the energy bill can be SUV-friendly yet yield a system of highways free from the scourge of SUVs!

Posted by: Stephen Spruiell on June 25, 2007 09:11 PM

Oh and also. You say an increase in the capital cost of driving will be offset by a decrease in the marginal cost. Tell me: What's the price of gasoline going to be in five years? Seriously. Let's make some money.

Posted by: Stephen Spruiell on June 25, 2007 09:21 PM

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