So here comes Hillary Clinton's health care proposal. It seems like she shrewdly (though not unexpectedly) has written something that exceeds expectations, perhaps after deliberately setting those expectations low. Edwards, who perhaps has the most ground to lose if the leading candidate encroaches upon his populism, is, as Ezra writes, saying that he "will announce today...a bill, to be submitted on his first day in office, ending health care coverage for the president, the Congress, and all political appointees on July 20th, 2009, unless they've passed health reform that accords with four non-negotiable principles Edwards will detail in the speech. If they don't pass comprehensive health reform, they lose their coverage until they do."
This is an extremely charged political move, and one that will, I think, have instant, though probably short-lived, appeal with the electorate. If the Iraq debate has proven anything it's that voters don't really know or care about the nitty-gritty of congressional procedure but that they want to see the people they elect do what they were elected to do. Rules be damned. Edwards knows better than anybody how to make this point. When his critics charge that this will be unfair to the families of relatively wealthy politicians, Edwards can rightly say that this is exactly the point. It's wealthy politicians themselves who are standing between the poor and health care, and if they believe that it's OK to do this, then they'll have little grounds on which to object when the president welcomes them into the ranks of the hoi polloi.
That said, I'm not sure Edwards should expect this honeymoon to last very long. It won't take much of a sustained effort by Obama and Clinton to make the case to the campaign reporters--who are already seemingly unfavorably disposed to Edwards--to point out exactly how unfeasible this is.
For the sake of simplicity, let's pretend he wins the presidency and goes about this a different way. On day one he introduces a bill designed to accomplish every item in the health care proposal he'd campaigned on. It goes to the floor and gets filibustered. So he pulls it and introduces a bill to remove all elected officials and appointees in the Executive and Legislative Branches from the government health rolls until Congress passes the bill he'd just pulled. It gets filibustered. So he pulls that and introduces a bill declaring that all filibustering Congresscritters are very, very mean people. It gets filibustered.
And so on.
Without line-item veto power, I don't see how he could do this even if he wanted to. It's as implausible a bill as is a universal health care bill to begin with, and I think he may be underestimating his rivals' ability to successfully make the point that this gambit might accomplish little other than running his mandate into the ground. That said, it's a bold move, and I think it's worth pointing out that the problem is not the move itself, but that almost nobody in politics makes moves like this.
Comments
Edwards seems stuck in the low-teens in many polls (but not all, especially in Iowa) of the Dem. race, and even more importantly, the media trys to ignore him by focusing on the Hillary-Obama horserace. It is this environment that colors his approach to Hillary's plan and his plan versus Congressional inertia to do little on healthcare.
He's got to remain the first and big mover on healthcare, and whatever it takes to do that is good campaign tactics. So this no-healthcare insurance for the Congress-Executives in government is the kind of theater that has some chance of keeping Edwards in the media game on this issue.
I think that's right, Jim. But the big question is whether this--his only real choice--is going to be effective.
Your theoretical Edwards bill is a lot harsher than what he said. Remove coverage for ALL executive and legislative branch employees? You realise that includes file clerks at HHS and janitors at DOJ, don't you?
Your larger point, that the prez can't force the hand of Congress with legislation, is absolutely true. He'd have to use an executive order forbidding federal employees from using government time to process insurance for MOCs.
Sorry. Sloppiness. That was supposed to say "appointees" I think. Will clarify. Thanks Mike.
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