"Walls are closing in on them"

Tomasky:

What McCain still faces, in spite of his series of wins among voters, is broad hostility among what we might call Official Conservatives with a big C.

These conservatives would prefer Romney. They don't have as much leverage as the voters, but the leverage they do have rests in the delegate count.

We're now at that phase, in both parties, when it's time to start counting delegates and trying to picture when the winner might pass the delegate threshold. You may be thinking that rhythmically, we should be getting near that point? No chance; McCain is still a long way away from hitting that. Fully 1,191 are needed for the nomination. Even with his Florida win, he hasn't even hit 100 yet. There's a long, long way to go.

That means that the Official Conservatives who hate McCain still have time to scheme against him. But the walls are closing in on them.

Comments

Ya, but...

The conservatives of the foreign policy type, and the evangelicals may demand a major voice in the VP selection (literally pounds of flesh), but the financial conservatives and corporate conservatives will sign on without a whimper as long as they see a way to win in Nov - even if they have to open their wallets 'bigtime'. That 10% with 80%+ of the wealth are not going to run any risks that the new President will lead or go along with major reforms of the progressive/liberal kind.

This will be fight to kill. I'm guessing that a 'new' GOP will emerge from the ashes as it did after Goldwater's debacle. They don't admit it, but they don't have a governing majority of the voters anymore, and few or no prospects for assembling a new coalition. The democraphics on the next ten years are not capable of electing a President except on winning personality and a bullpen of those is not in existence.

Posted by: JimPortlandOR on January 30, 2008 01:39 AM

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