Don't forget the establishment

I think there's a part of being establishmentarian (I like the oligopoly better) hinted at in your post, but not explicit.

Everyone in 'power' is scared shitless that they'll be marginalized, in the way that Noam Chomsky has been. All it takes is one utterance, if you are left of center or say something that is a mortal blow to the right, and everything after that will be ignored. And the utterance will be resurrected! Just ask Dennis Kucinich or Jim McDermott.

The result is that the left boundary of our discourse is somewhere between Nancy Pelosi and, say, Paul Krugman. The right has no boundary. Rush or David Duke and the GOP congressional folks keep pushing the right boundary further right, with no effective limit (as long as outright racism is avoided (Don Imus)).

The center-left does a lousy job of defending the further left in public discouse - in fact the center-left usually can be counted upon to denounce the far left preemptively.

I'm not sure if this is unique to the US. Seems as if this is true in Europe as well. It is a curious phenomena since the far left has been dead politically since the early cold war days in developed countries (and to the extent that someone like Hugo Chavez is viewed as way past the boundary.

I haven't seen any explanation of this revulsion against the left by establishments in our democracies that is intellectually satisfying or rigorous.

Der Name des Mannes stand auf einer Liste mit etwa 285 amerikanischen Kunden, die die Bank Mitte Februar den amerikanischen Behörden übergeben hatte, um ein Strafverfahren zu vermeiden.

Es sei zwar

die erste Verhaftung, "aber es wird nicht die letzte sein", erklärte der zuständige Staatsanwalt für den südlichen Bezirk von Florida, Alexander Acosta. Am Dienstag wird ein Richter entscheiden, ob der Mann gegen Kaution wieder freikommt.

Dem Buchhalter mit amerikanisch-südafrikanischer Doppelstaatsbürgerschaft wird vorgeworfen, mit Hilfe seines südafrikanischen Passes bei der Schweizer Großbank UBS ein Konto eröffnet zu haben, das auf eine auf British Virgin Islands ansässige Firma lautete.

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raimo1@hot.ee

THE Australian dollar

At the local close, it was trading at US72.45c, up from Thursday's close of US72.36c.

During the session, the unit traded between US73.24c and US72.24c.

It began the local session at a six-month high of US73.18-22c.

ICAP economist Adam Carr said risk appetite was boosted by the declining US dollar.

The safe-haven currency declined during the four-day Easter break after news that US bank Wells Fargo had posted a better-than-forecast guidance for its first-quarter earnings.

"The Aussie's tracked higher," Mr Carr said. "We've had a couple of bounces up a couple of hundred points.

"US dollar weakness has been the key thing over the Easter period. Today, we've given some of those gains back, but not a lot. Significantly, we've held over US72c."

According to Wells Fargo, it expects "record" net income, about billion ($4.1 billion) for the first three months of 2009.

Markets considered it another sign of improvement in credit and lending markets. But Mr Carr said the overnight offshore session could prove volatile for the Australian dollar.

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BRITICH BILLIONARE

These women are the latest in a long line of billionaire offspring who have decided to work for mom or dad. The allure seems obvious: lots of responsibility at a young age, little chance of being fired by the boss and the opportunity to contribute to the family's legacy.

But how seriously do these women take these jobs, and how likely is it that they'll actually inherit the corner offices, eventually run billion-dollar enterprises and oversee thousands of employees?

To find the most promising progeny, we scoured the daughters of the world's 793 billionaires and found 25 worth watching. They range in age from 25 to 59, include a couple sets of sisters and hail from 12 countries and work in such diverse industries as cosmetics, media and shipping.

Not included are any heiresses who have already inherited the fortune as well as the business, thus eliminating someone like Margaret (Maggie) Magerko, 43, who now runs and owns 84 Lumber, founded by her father. Also left off are ones who are succeeding on their own, such as Ralph Lauren's daughter Dylan, who owns the popular Manhattan store Dylan's Candy Bar.

So who are the rising stars? One of the best known is Donald Trump's daughter Ivanka, who seems destined for the job. At 27, she has already become a fixture in her father's empire as an executive vice president for the Trump Organization and a star in her dad's primetime show Celebrity Apprentice. Enterprising as the Donald himself, Ivanka has also found time to be a fashion model and the face of Ivanka Trump Jewelry, her own luxury diamond line.

Others already sit on the boards of the world's largest public companies. Vanisha Mittal Bhatia, 28, is a board member of steel behemoth ArcelorMittal (market cap $37 billion), along with its chief executive, her father Lakshmi Mittal, and American billionaire Wilbur Ross. She is the only family member besides her dad on the board, though her brother Aditya Mittal is CFO and member of the Group Management Board.

Meanwhile, France's Delphine Arnault-Gancia, 34, became the first woman board member of luxury goods group LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton, run by her father, at age 28 and was named deputy managing director of Christian Dior in April 2008.

Hohe Gewinne der Investmentbanken

Investmentbanken wie die Deutsche Bank, Goldman Sachs und J.P. Morgan erzielen wegen ihrer Nähe zu den Kapitalmärkten schneller wieder hohe Gewinne. Während sie der Absturz der Märkte nach Lehman besonders hart traf, profitieren sie nun von dem Aufschwung an den Börsen und dem Kapitalbedarf der Firmen und Staaten. Sie nutzen die Erträge, um einen Teil der auch bei ihnen noch immer hohen Altlasten abzubauen, ohne das Kapital anzufressen.

Häuser wie Commerzbank, Postbank sowie die Immobilien- und Landesbanken haben diesen Puffer nicht. Hinzu kommt, dass all diese Institute, deren Brot- und Buttergeschäft die Kreditvergabe ist, in der Rezession mit neuen, hohen Ausfällen rechnen müssen. Sie brauchen dann frisches Kapital oder eine Bad Bank, die ihnen wenigstens ihre Altlasten abnimmt.

Ausgestanden ist die Krise aber auch für die Investmentbanken nicht: Wenn der unverhoffte Börsenfrühling endet, wird man sehen, dass auch die Kapitalmarktkönige unter dem Rouge noch ganz schön blass aussehen.

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raimo1@hot.ee

France 1944

President Nicolas Sarkozy paid homage Friday on a Riviera beach to soldiers from French colonies who 65 years ago landed in southern France to help defeat the Nazis in what is known as the "forgotten D-Day."

But in Paris, these colonial soldiers who slipped off the pages of history , and also the French bankroll , demonstrated, still hoping for a larger military pension for the estimated 80,000 of them still alive.

Without waiting for the August anniversary of the landing in Provence, Sarkozy used the 64th anniversary of Victory in Europe, or V-E Day, to praise those who have received little recognition for their feat.

The Aug. 15, 1944, southern landing in Provence may not have decided the war, but it "played an absolutely decisive role in France's participation in the final victory," Sarkozy said in a speech on La Nartelle beach in Sainte-Maxime.

French forces, including from African colonies, played a major role in liberating southern France, comprising more than half of the estimated 350,000 soldiers that participated in Operation Dragoon.

Sarkozy noted the Moroccan battalions, the Senegalese and the "spahis" , or North African cavalry , fought for France "like for their mother country, sparing neither pain nor their blood."

France "will not forget their sacrifice," he said.

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The International Monetary Fund (IMF) is attempting to reinvent itself with the global financial crisis, in the process using the opportunity to promote policies that exacerbate the recession by shrinking rather than growing economies.

This is the opinion of Deborah James, director of international programmes at the Centre for Economic and Policy Research (CEPR) based in Washington, U.S.

James also urged developing countries, including those in Africa, to find ways to stimulate economic activity. She argued against those who promote the idea that only the North can afford stimulus packages.

Several countries in the South, including a poor country such as Bolivia, are using stimulus packages to buffer their populations against the ravages of the crisis.

She distinguished between policies that stimulate economic activity and those that don't. Tax breaks and assistance to buy imports do not stimulate economies but food stamps, transport vouchers, rent reduction or housing vouchers are all reactivating because such assistance is spent immediately and therefore circulates in the economy.

IPS interviewed James after she spoke at a public event hosted May 11-15 by Our World Is Not For Sale (OWINFS), of which CEPR is a member, and Amandla Publishers in Cape Town, South Africa.

OWINFS, which is concluding its biannual strategy meeting in Cape Town on May 15, is a global network of organisations, individuals and social movements that oppose corporate globalisation. CEPR is a non-governmental organisation that promotes democratic debate about economic and social issues through research and public education.

While some say that neoliberalism is in crisis, others are saying "we need more of the same", James told the audience. Apart from the IMF, the World Trade Organisation is the other institution which, despite promoting neoliberal policies such as deregulation and liberalisation, is projecting itself as "part of the solution".

Before the economic crisis struck, the IMF was teetering on the brink of becoming redundant as lending dropped to its lowest level in 25 years.

Its financial reserves were falling because of countries such as Argentina and Brazil deciding not to take out further IMF loans and regions such as South America and Asia deciding to form their own monetary funds that will lend money without policy strings attached.

The Group of 20 meeting at the beginning of April this year gave the faltering organisation a new lease on life. The G20 leaders decided to make 750 billion dollars available to the IMF ostensibly to help countries battling with recession.

According to James, the IMF is presenting itself as the institution that can help with bailing out countries that are suffering from balance of payment problems and are running out of reserves. But the loan policies that the IMF is enforcing are still the same as before: contracting rather than stimulating economies.

Contractionary policies are about keeping interest rates high which makes it expensive to borrow money and therefore inhibit the growth of economies. Stimulus policies, on the other hand, are what governments in the North are doing by spending more money to counteract the recession.

"The whole point of the IMF coming into those countries is to help them not collapse but they are forcing them to adopt policies that make the recession worse. High interest rates (one of the IMF's conditions for a loan) choke off growth," explained James. Interest rates are a key determining factor in growth.

Thank you for your very thoughtful expression in a way

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raimo1@hot.ee

Commerzbank ist perfekt.

Nach zweitägiger Debatte und teils harscher Kritik billigten die Aktionäre des DAX-Konzerns bei der Hauptversammlung am Samstag in Frankfurt die dafür nötige Kapitalerhöhung mit 97,7 Prozent Zustimmung.

Das teilte die Commerzbank am Abend mit. Der Bund stützt die Bank über den Bankenrettungsfonds SoFFin mit 18,2 Milliarden Euro Kapital. Im Gegenzug wird der Staat mit 25 Prozent plus einer Aktie größter Einzelaktionär. Deutschlands zweitgrößte Bank war wegen der Finanzkrise und der Übernahme der problembehafteten Dresdner Bank in Schwierigkeiten geraten.

Commerzbank-Chef Martin Blessing hatte das umstrittene Geschäft zuvor erneut verteidigt: «Aus unserer Sicht ist der Zusammenschluss von Commerzbank und Dresdner Bank nach wie vor strategisch sinnvoll.» Mittelfristig erwarte die Commerzbank aus der größten Fusion in der Finanzbranche seit Jahren Synergien in Höhe von fünf Milliarden Euro. Auf der Kostenseite werde die Fusion schon 2009 rund 200 Millionen Euro bringen, 2010 dann rund 800 Millionen Euro.

Dass die im Sommer mitten in der Finanzkrise vereinbarte Übernahme der Dresdner Bank letztlich durch den Staat abgesichert werden musste, sei auch für die Commerzbank unerwartet gekommen, sagte Blessing vor etwa 2700 Aktionären. Er räumte ein, trotz intensiver Prüfung sei nicht vorhersehbar gewesen, «in welch einem Ausmaß und in welcher Geschwindigkeit sich die in den Büchern der Dresdner Bank enthaltenen Risiken realisieren würden». In der Finanzkrise insgesamt habe auch die Commerzbank Fehler gemacht. Die Mittel des SoFFin stabilisierten die Bank auf Dauer, sagte Blessing. Weitere Staatshilfe benötige das Institut nach derzeitigem Stand nicht.

Viele Aktionäre zeigten sich verärgert, dass das Management die angeschlagene Dresdner ohne ihre Zustimmung kaufte, dem DAX-Konzern damit erhebliche Probleme bescherte und die Aktionäre mindestens für die Jahre 2008 und 2009 um jegliche Dividende brachte. «Unsere Bank hat sich von der Nummer zwei in Deutschland zum Sanierungsfall entwickelt», kritisierte Klaus Nieding von der Deutschen Schutzvereinigung für Wertpapierbesitz (DSW). Die EU-Kommission hatte die staatliche Hilfe nur unter strengen Auflagen genehmigt. So muss die Commerzbank sich verschlanken und etwa die Immobilientochter Eurohypo verkaufen. «Es gibt keine Pläne oder Überlegungen, die Eurohypo mit einer anderen Bank zusammenzubringen», sagte Blessing.

raivo pommer-www.google.ee
raimo1@hot.ee

Dem vor der Verstaatlichung stehenden Immobilienfinanzierer Hypo Real Estate (HRE) droht neuer Ärger: Die Staatsanwaltschaft München prüft Strafanzeigen von zwei Anwälten wegen Insolvenzverschleppung gegen die Bank.

Oberstaatsanwalt Anton Winkler bestätigte am Freitag einen entsprechenden Bericht von «Focus Online». Der Nürnberger Rechtsanwalt Klaus Kratzer sagte dem Nachrichtenportal, die Kernkapitalquote der HRE sei zum 31. März 2009 auf 3,4 Prozent geschmolzen. Diese Zahl sei am 5. Mai öffentlich geworden. Da die rechtliche Mindestanforderung bei vier Prozent liege, hätte der Vorstand unverzüglich Insolvenz beantragen müssen.

Ein HRE-Sprecher hält die Vorwürfe für abwegig. «Das ist halt- und substanzlos», sagte der Sprecher, wollte sich aber zu Details nicht äußern. Der Bund will das schwer angeschlagene Institut verstaatlichen und hat dafür eine weitere Hürde genommen. Die EU- Kommission gab am Freitag grünes Licht für das Vorhaben. Die HRE war im Zuge der Finanzkrise in eine existenzielle Notlage geraten und konnte nur mit Kapitalhilfen und Garantien über 102 Milliarden Euro am Leben gehalten werden.

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raimo1@hot.ee

EURO-zone economies shrank far more than expected in the first quarter — with Germany posting its worst performance since reunification — but in the US on Friday there were signs of improving consumer sentiment and a stabilising industrial sector.

Gross domestic product for the 16 countries using the euro contracted 2,5% quarter on quarter, or 4,6% year on year, the worst on record. Europe’s largest economy, Germany, fell 3,8%.

Despite signs that the worst global recession in six decades might be easing, recovery clearly remains elusive.

“It was a massive surprise just how weak the data were,” said HSBC senior currency strategist Paul Mackel.

Bankers and policy makers said central and eastern Europe faced at least another year of economic pain. They urged western European institutions to do more to help.

Ukraine said it needed more funds on top of an existing $16,4bn International Monetary Fund (IMF) bail-out.

Economic signals in the US were more encouraging. The mood of US consumers improved this month, and a widely tracked measure of consumer expectations was at its highest level since October 2007.

US factory output fell at a slowing rate, and machinery orders in Japan surpassed expectations, both suggesting global industry was at least starting to stabilise.

Energy and financial shares pressured Wall Street, and the Standard & Poor’s 500 index closed down 1,1%. US indices were lower for the week, as were European markets, despite a 0,5% gain on Friday.

Industry and consumer confidence surveys signalled a slowing rate of decline in recent weeks, and central bankers have talked up recovery hopes. Yet consumer-demand signals have been mixed at best.

The world’s number three clothing retailer, Sweden’s Hennes & Mauritz, raised hope of a consumer recovery with its first sales increase since last July.

But US retailers JC Penney and Abercrombie & Fitch suggested consumers remained leery of nonessential spending and were sensitive to prices. “Price consciousness is dictating shopping habits unlike anything I have ever seen,” said Abercrombie CE Mike Jeffries, whose company’s loss was wider than expected.

US credit card defaults rose to a record high last month, reflecting the millions of job losses since the start of the year. Citigroup, Wells Fargo and American Express posted double-digit loss rates.

General Motors will cut about 1600 dealers as it prunes operations ahead of expected bankruptcy. Bankrupt Chrysler took similar measures. Sluggish demand has limited companies’ pricing power: US consumer prices had their largest 12-month drop since 1955.

A US policy maker said Federal Reserve action pulled the economy back “from the edge of the abyss”, but a return to growth would take time as Americans sought a new balance between consumption and saving. Dallas Fed President Richard Fisher expected a “very slow slog”.

Fed chairman Ben Bernanke said on Friday investors seemed more willing to take part in a Fed scheme to revive lending.

Banks, at the epicentre of the crisis, still face pressure to raise capital. Barclays is in talks to sell prized asset management arm Barclays Global Investors of San Francisco for $10bn or more. It received “unsolicited interest” in other units after auctioning its iShares unit.

IMF chief Dominique Strauss-Kahn said recovery, which the IMF predicts is a year away, depended on the banks. “There is a lot do in cleansing the balance sheets. You never recover until the cleansing has been done.”

raivo pommer-www.google.ee
raimo1@hot.ee

Der WestLB.

In einer persönlichen Erklärung begründete Hilgert seinen Rücktritt damit, dass er auf dem Weg zur Neuausrichtung der angeschlagenen Landesbank "nicht die erforderliche wirtschaftliche Unterstützung der maßgeblichen Eigentümer der Bank" finde. Die Landesbank verliert mitten in einem schwierigen Sanierungsprozess ihren Chef; Hilgert war bereits der dritte binnen zwei Jahren nach Thomas Fischer und Alexander Stuhlmann. Am Abend ernannte der Aufsichtsrat Hilgerts Stellvertreter Dietrich Voigtländer kommissarisch zum Konzernchef.

Die WestLB, drittgrößte deutsche Landesbank, will Geschäftsaktivitäten im Umfang von rund 80 Milliarden Euro auslagern. In der vergangenen Woche hatte die EU-Kommission die Bank verpflichtet, sich im Gegenzug zu den gewährten Staatshilfen von ganzen Geschäftsbereichen zu trennen und ihr Geschäftsvolumen somit zu halbieren. Die Konzentration auf Kernbereiche ("Projekt Omega") bezeichnete Hilgert als "einzigen, die künftige Existenz der Bank rechtzeitig und nachhaltig sichernden Weg".

Gegen die Absicherung dieses Modells gibt es aber massiven Widerstand von den Sparkassenverbänden als Mehrheitseigentümer der WestLB, die bisher nicht bereit sind, der Landesbank die notwendigen Garantien in einer Größenordnung von fünf Milliarden Euro zu gewähren.

Daran müssten sich die Sparkassenverbände gemäß ihres Eigentümer-Anteils mit mehr als 2,5 Milliarden Euro beteiligen. Hilgert soll sich in vertraulichen Gesprächen massiv über die Politik des Rheinischen und des Westfälischen Sparkassenverbandes beschwert haben, verlautete aus dem Umfeld der nordrhein-westfälischen Landesregierung, die mit 37 Prozent an der WestLB beteiligt ist.

ALZHEIMER MONEY

In New York spielt sich ein spektakulärer Prozess um eine verstorbene Society-Lady ab: Der Sohn soll der Alzheimer-Kranken Millionen abgeknöpft haben.

Er soll das Testament seiner Mutter gefälscht und sich um 60 Millionen Dollar bereichert haben: Anthony Marshall (rechts) vor dem Supreme Court in New York.

Nancy Kissinger, die Frau von Henry, war da und Philippe de Montebello, der ehemalige Direktor des Metropolitan Museums und John Hart, der Theater- und Filmproduzent ("Revolutionary Road") und natürlich auch Annette de la Renta, die Gattin des amerikanischen Designers Oscar de la Renta. Die Liste bekannter Namen aus der Manhattaner High Society wird täglich länger. Doch es ist kein Wohltätigkeitsball, der hier stattfindet. Und die Räumlichkeiten sind nicht zu vergleichen mit den Salons voll Samt, Gold und Marmor, in denen viele der Anwesenden kurz zuvor noch gefrühstückt haben.

Verhandelt wird hier, am New Yorker State Supreme Court, eine weniger glanzvolle Episode im Leben der Park-Avenue-Gesellschaft. Es geht um Brooke Astor, die Grande Dame der New Yorker Society, die 2007 im Alter von 105 Jahren gestorben ist, und darum, wie ihr einziger Sohn, Anthony Marshall, gemeinsam mit Astors Anwalt Francis Morrissey versuchte, ihren Reichtum zu seinem zu machen. Sie beide hätten Astors fortschreitende Alzheimer-Erkrankung ausgenützt, so der Vorwurf der Anklage, um ihr immer größere Teile des Familienerbes zu entwinden - darunter viele Millionen, die für das Metropolitan Museum, die Public Library und den Zoo vorgesehen waren, die New Yorker Institutionen, die Astor, der Familientradition treu bleibend, jahrzehntelang beschenkt hatte.

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Österreich findet sich auf der grauen Liste wieder: Diese umfasst Staaten, die angekündigt haben, den internationalen Richtlinien entsprechen zu wollen, diese aber noch nicht umgesetzt haben. Dabei wird Österreich nicht als Steueroase ("tax haven") geführt, sondern unter "sonstige Finanzzentren" – mit Belgien, dem Sultanat Brunei, Chili
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Yesterday, the Democrats.org blog featured an excerpt from a story we received from Kristine Reger, a life-long Wisconsinite and mother of three who attended President Obama’s Health Care Town Hall in Green Bay. Today, we asked Kristine to write a guest post to share her full story:
Hi everyone. I submitted my health care story to Organizing for America online, and they’ve asked me to write a guest blog about my experience. Here's what I can tell you:
Though I'm a lifelong Democrat, my husband and I raised our three kids in a mostly Republican suburb. For years and years, I kind of rolled over and skirted political conversations with my friends and neighbors. I didn’t want to engage in debate.

Then last fall, after more than 20 years, I finally decided to have the courage of my convictions. Barack Obama inspired me to get involved. I wasn’t happy with the direction of our country and I thought to myself: enough is enough. I spent lots of time researching the issues and learning about then-Senator Obama’s positions. Eventually, I figured out that I could make a real difference in my own network of family and friends by reaching out to people through email and responding to all the emails going around that I knew weren’t true. You know what I learned? My friends are still my friends. People have started coming to me to understand what’s going on; they rely on me to tell them the truth.

Since the election, President Obama has inspired me to stay involved. I think he’s so sensible and so right on so many of the issues I care about. I woke up at 5am yesterday to attend the Health Care Town Hall in Green Bay. It was fascinating – great questions, so much excitement and not an inch of space in the room.

Unfortunately my health care story is not unique, it’s typical. My husband and his business partner run a small machine shop their fathers’ founded in the 1950s. They’ve always provided their employees with single and family coverage, but as premiums have become more expensive, they’ve been forced to modify the kind of coverage they provide. Between this year and last, costs have increased 8 percent. In order to continue to provide health insurance, they’ve had to switch to a high deducible plan. Last year, they paid $132,000 in health care costs for a plan with a $2,500 deductible. Those costs are cutting into their profits and eating into our family income. Truth be told, the policy isn’t all bad – there are actually some great things about it. For example, all our preventative care, including physicals, mammograms and colonoscopies, are covered regardless of whether or not we’ve reached our deductible. That focus on preventative care is great - its something a reform plan should build on. But when you add up all the costs of our plan, we have to spend an awful lot to receive any of the benefits.

It’s true that we’re in the midst of a terrible recession. But I don't think maintaining the status quo when it comes to health care is an option. I keep thinking if small businesses like my husband’s are the life blood of our economy, how will it ever bounce back when small business owners can’t eek out a profit because health care costs are so high?

Everyone I know cares about this issue – my Republican friends care just as much as my Democratic ones. We’re all living with the consequences of a broken system. Though we might not all agree on the exact solution, we all agree something has to be done. If people see a part of themselves in my story, and are inspired to get involved, then maybe we’ll be able to make the people in Washington pay attention to us and get something done.

Kristine Reger is a life-long Wisconsinite and mother of three. She worked as a high school English teacher before staying at home to raise her children for 19 years. She is currently a self-employed travel agent. Kristine attended President Obama’s Health Care Town Hall in Green Bay, WI on Thursday.

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And they have placed trust in the government not just to fix the economy but to do so with minimal waste and, more importantly, in a way that destroys--not reinforces--the culture of rot that created the crisis in the first place. Collectively they have the power to take that trust away, and while that might spell economic doom for all of us, they might understandably (or rightly) conclude that the government's blowing it anyway, so why waste the extra few hundred billion dollars. http://www.watchgy.com/
http://www.watchgy.com/tag-heuer-c-24.html/