So the House has passed the "give us that damn money back, AIG" bill by a wide margin. Later I'll go through and try to pick out the people (mostly Republican, but perhaps some Democratic), who voted for the bailout but against the bonus tax--the people, in other words, without the foggiest claim to principle.
But for now, let's reflect on what just happened. Because even assuming this thing gets signed into law and that the political controversy about these particular bonuses ends quickly, there are still a lot to consider. Will bailed out companies try to exploit loopholes in this law and award their executives yet more bonuses? Will Timothy Geithner and Barack Obama be able to seize the space that opens up when the mess gets swept away and restore public faith in their ability to address the many aspects of this crisis? Crucially, was the fact that these bonuses went through a fluke, or a symptom of the government's inability to control one rogue company among many in the way they need to? And, if it was a fluke, will the administration become more attuned to the political fact that these relatively small sums of money have come to hold very deep meaning to the vast majority of Americans who work very hard for modest salaries and think, perhaps rightly, that they're being conned?
They (and I'd include myself in 'they') will never know what it feels like to be a millionaire, let alone how it feels to be handed millions in lump sum. They will never be rewarded (excuse me, retained) if they fail in even a minor way. And they have placed trust in the government not just to fix the economy but to do so with minimal waste and, more importantly, in a way that destroys--not reinforces--the culture of rot that created the crisis in the first place. Collectively they have the power to take that trust away, and while that might spell economic doom for all of us, they might understandably (or rightly) conclude that the government's blowing it anyway, so why waste the extra few hundred billion dollars.
That's why I think that--though it's easy to place too much emphasis on this particular episode, and that doing so only makes it harder for the White House and Treasury to address the problem--there is an underlying issue here that matters quite a bit. It's not that the success of the bailout depends on what happens to these $160 million, but that these $160 million strongly suggest that some very rich, and, perhaps, very bad men have leveraged their way into control of the whole bailout process and the government's now following their lead. And their incentives are, to say the least, not in line with the best interests of the vast majority of taxpayers.
If that perception is correct, then it's hard to imagine the financial rescue succeeding. If that perception is incorrect, but still pervasive, it very much limits the tools Geithner et al. may need to complete the process, and in that sense, it's important for the administration to reverse the perception. Noam Scheiber writes:
I mean, however you feel about what Geithner knew about the bonuses and when he knew it, you have to concede that his far bigger concern throughout this time was preventing the global economy from self-immolating. As a substantive proposition, how much would we even want a Treasury secretary to focus on $165 million in bonus money while there were hundreds of billions of dollars in bailout money flowing to AIG and other companies? Doesn't seem like that would be a particularly good use of his time beyond a certain point.And Ezra Klein writes:
[G]iven the information Geithner had available, it's hard to argue that he should have stopped the bonuses. The AIG retention payments were one-tenth of one percent of the money we've given AIG, much less the rest of the system. Whether Geithner knew of them early or late, he probably didn't consider them a priority.
And I think both badly underestimate the extent to which this was the manifestation a genuinely systemic problem. It's simply not the case that Geithner and other high-level economic officials were so concerned with the bigger picture that they outsourced the question of compensation to Congress entirely. On the contrary, they were extremely involved in resolving that very question. They were opposed to strict compensation limits. And even though they may not have winked and nodded at AIG specifically, or at this or that bonus package, they made a calculation and arrived at the conclusion that caving to the extortion of the very people who triggered this collapse was worth a few hundred million tax payer dollars.
It's hard to say exactly why they decided that. I'm sure that in part they underestimated the potential for political backlash, and now they've learned their lessons the hard way. But clearly they also thought that letting executives take home big fat piles of government money was either a matter of expedience or a matter of necessity. And either way it has huge implications for the success or failure of one of the most expensive and urgent government programs in the country's history.
Comments
From thE wApO:
"The handful of souls who championed the firm's now-infamous credit-default swaps are, by nearly every account, long since departed. Those left behind to clean up the mess, the majority of whom never lost a dime for AIG, now feel they have been sold out by their Congress and their president.
...
Pasciucco (brought in in November by Liddy) cringed at the notion, articulated by many lawmakers and even President Obama, that Financial Products is a firm of nearly 400 reckless and greedy derivatives traders.
In actuality, he said, nearly all the troublesome sectors of the business -- namely, the risky credit derivatives written on mortgage-backed securities -- are now out of the equation, as are the people who worked on them. That leaves a small number of employees to untangle the remaining trades in four main areas: commodities, interest rates, currency and equities -- most of which were fully hedged and have caused little problem. The effort also requires a sizable number of "back office" staff, such as systems, computing, accounting, human resources and legal teams. "
That would stand in contrast to the widely held belief expressed above:
"they made a calculation and arrived at the conclusion that caving to the extortion of the very people who triggered this collapse was worth a few hundred million tax payer dollars."
That may be too much reality for the reality based community to absorb.
homerun post, Brian.
Since the new AIG CEO has thus far refused to give Cuomo the list of those who got the bonuses, it is somewhat difficult to know nearly all the troublesome sectors of the business -- namely, the risky credit derivatives written on mortgage-backed securities -- are now out of the equation, as are the people who worked on them. (as Pasciucco, via super-reliable and unbiased WaPo reports).
Further: That leaves a small number of employees to untangle the remaining trades in four main areas: commodities, interest rates, currency and equities -- most of which were fully hedged and have caused little problem. The effort also requires a sizable number of "back office" staff, such as systems, computing, accounting, human resources and legal teams. "
Since I checked my trust, and wallet, in financial executives at the pole dancing bar's checkroom were they probably hang out after work - spending their bonus money on getting a bonus, we have only words (not facts) to say if the CDS issue is gone and the rest is no problem. I'm also curious if the back office staff that is used as a creep's crutch in the quote got anything from the bonus deal - but we can trust that they didn't because we know the total number who got bonused.
I hasten to add that AIG bonuses don't give me a boner, but just reveal the contempt Wall Street big guys have for the US taxpayers. I got the message some time ago, but they insist on reconveying it again and again through bad acts.
So, the WaPo wail doesn't work for me, and in fact a reverse Reaganism works better: Don't trust, but verify under oath in a grand jury. That's a reality that the reality based community could rely upon, maybe.
Re: "I'm also curious if the back office staff that is used as a creep's crutch in the quote got anything from the bonus deal - but we can trust that they didn't because we know the total number who got bonused."
From the news:
"Cuomo, who has subpoenaed the names, had other details of the bonuses. He said that of the 418 employees who received bonuses, 298 got more than $100,000. The highest bonus was $6.4 million, and six other employees received more than $4 million. Fifteen other people received bonuses of more than $2 million, and 51 received $1 million to $2 million."
So of 370 current employees, 418 got bonuses. OK, we know some people wound down their work and left, but yes, I have no doubt the back office people got bonuses, too.
Sorry Tom, but He said that of the 418 employees who received bonuses He didn't say that the Financial Products division had only 418 employees, and I doubt that is the total number. FP was in more than just London, but in NY (and probably elsewhere) as well.
298 got more than $100,000. Do systems, computing, accounting, human resources and legal teams get $100K bonuses (except maybe the lawyers)? I doubt that as well. HR, accounting, systems and computing folks? For many of them, a $100K bonus would double their income, and the contract guaranteed that they'd get their 2007 bonus regardless of 2008 performance.
Finally, I just don't accept that that extortion should be paid because they might leave and go to competitors, nor do I accept that they are not replaceable. Extortion is extortion whether done by mobsters or white collar money manipulators - I mean manipulators in the worst sense of that word. Fraudsters is actually better.
Well, regardless of the AIG money, do you really think the stimulus plan will work. I have some doubts, and am certain in the long term will raise the debt level as well raise the likelihood of huge inflationary pressure later on. I was looking the other day, at a site,
http://www.recessioninfocenter.com
where it was showing the cyclicality in the economy. Maybe we should just let the cycle take its course. Just my 2 cents.
Re: "Sorry Tom, but He said that of the 418 employees who received bonuses He didn't say that the Financial Products division had only 418 employees, and I doubt that is the total number. "
I think you are going to be happier doing your own research. If you are familiar with Google you might start with this letter from Liddy to Geithner, in which he explains that AIG FP has "about 400" employees.
http://www.foxbusiness.com/story/markets/read-aig-financial-products-employee-retention-plan/
In other press reports I have seen that there about 370 employees now, and some bonus recipients had left before March 15 and are not in the 370.
I know from personal accounts that secretaries at AIG FP got $25,000 to $50,000 bonuses one year, but that was a while ago and you have no reason to take my word for it anyway.
I know that is a lot of reality for the reality-based to process, but still...
This is from the LA Time stoday:
"One administrative worker who was transferred to FP from another AIG unit said it had the reputation of "paying out huge bonuses." In her first year there, the woman's annual bonus jumped from $12,000 to $40,000."
Whatever.
credit derivatives written on mortgage-backed securities -- are now out of the equation, as are the people
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BILLIG LEBEN in POLEN FÜR DEUTSCHEN
Sie heißen „Elegance“, „Jola“ oder „Malgorzata“ und werben erfolgreich um deutsche Kundschaft: In die mehr als 30 Frisiersalons in dem polnischen Grenzdorf Osinow Dolny zieht es angesichts des gefallenen Zloty-Kurses vermehrt deutsche Kunden.
In dem Ort mit seinen rund 200 Einwohnern seien etwa 100 Friseure tätig, sagt Ortsvorsteherin Wladyslawa Stefanowicz, die selbst einen Salon an der Straße betreibt, die ins deutsche Hohenwutzen bei Bad Freienwalde (Märkisch-Oderland) führt. Im Moment liefen die Geschäfte gut, beide Seiten profitierten: Die Polen verdienten sich ihren Lebensunterhalt mit den Deutschen, die wiederum wegen niedriger Preise sparen könnten. Gab es im Sommer 2008 für 1 Euro nicht einmal 3,30 Zloty, sind es derzeit deutlich über 4 Zloty.
Im „Salon Teresa“ am Ende der Dorfstraße kostet ein Damenhaarschnitt – waschen und frisieren – zurzeit um die 9 Euro, für Herrenfrisuren werden 4 Euro fällig. Auch aus finanziellen Erwägungen fährt das Rentnerehepaar Margit und Dieter Walkhoff aus Serwest (Barnim) regelmäßig über die Grenze nach Polen – zum Einkaufen und zum Haareschneiden. Die polnische Handwerkskunst habe sie derart überzeugt, dass sie sich seit Jahren in Osinow Dolny frisieren lasse, sagt Margit Walkhoff. „Frau Teresa macht das sehr gut.“
Die derart gelobte Teresa Szuszakiewicz betreibt seit 2005 ihren eigenen Salon und hat zuvor acht Jahre als Angestellte in einem anderen Friseurgeschäft in Osinow Dolny gearbeitet. Im Laufe der Jahre lernte sie soviel deutsch, dass sie sich mit ihren Kunden von jenseits der Grenze einigermaßen verständigen kann. Die meisten ihrer täglich 15 bis 20 Kunden kämen aus Deutschland, berichtet Szuszakiewicz. Viele von ihnen reisten aus dem gut 70 Kilometer entfernten Berlin an. „Nur für uns Polen bräuchten wir hier nicht so viele Friseure.“
Dass Deutsche gern in Polen zum Friseur gehen, sei für die märkischen Friseure deutlich spürbar, berichtet die Brandenburger Landesinnungsmeisterin der Friseure, Gabriele Eichler. „Das macht den Friseuren in der Grenzregion schon zu schaffen.“ Der stellvertretende Obermeister der Friseur-Innung Frankfurt (Oder)-Süd, Klaus-Peter Färber, führt die getrübte Stimmung in der Branche dennoch eher auf die angespannte wirtschaftliche Lage in Ostbrandenburg als auf die polnische Konkurrenz zurück. Den Friseuren bleibe natürlich nicht verborgen, dass sich so mancher Frankfurter in der polnischen Nachbarstadt Slubice frisieren lasse. „Wer sparen muss, nutzt das natürlich. Doch auch in Polen werden die Preise steigen. Und wir versuchen, uns zu arrangieren.“
Für die Ostbrandenburger Friseure heißt das unter anderem, dass sie seit Jahren mit ihren Kollegen aus dem Nachbarland kooperieren. So stellten gerade beim Oderlandpokal, der jährlichen Leistungsschau des Friseurhandwerks, auch wieder Teilnehmer aus Polen ihr Können unter Beweis. Teresa Szuszakiewicz und ihre Angestellte Danuta Makuch haben von dem Wettbewerb gehört, der am vergangenen Sonntag in Frankfurt (Oder) ausgetragen wurde. Eine Teilnahme kam für sie jedoch nicht in Frage. Der „Salon Teresa“ ist an sieben Tagen in der Woche geöffnet.
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Der Kreditkartenanbieter Mastercard senkt die Verrechnungspreise für alle internationalen Transaktionen mit Maestro-EC-Karten und Privatkunden-Kreditkarten. Das teilte die Europäische Kommission am Mittwoch in Brüssel mit. Die EU-Behörde verzichtet im Gegenzug darauf, ein im Jahr 2007 wegen der ihrer Ansicht nach überhöhten Preise begonnenes Kartellverfahren voranzutreiben. Die neuen Tarife sollen von Anfang Juli an gelten. Die Preissenkung käme den Einzelhändlern wie auch den Verbrauchern zugute, sagte die verantwortliche Wettbewerbskommissarin Neelie Kroes. Nun müssten die EU-Staaten sicherstellen, dass auch die Preise für nicht grenzüberschreitende getätigte Geschäfte gesenkt würden.
Den Verrechnungspreis muss die Bank des Händlers an Mastercard zahlen, wenn sich dieser etwa per Kreditkarte bezahlen lässt. Diese Gebühr wiederum geben die Banken an die Händler und diese in Regel an ihre Kunden weiter, indem sie die Preise für ihre Waren erhöhen. Das neue Preissystem sieht vor, dass für Zahlungen per Kreditkarte im Durchschnitt rund 0,3 Prozent der bezahlten Summe und für Debitkarten – wie die EC-Karte – 0,2 Prozent anfallen. Zuvor hat Mastercard bis zu 1,2 Prozent berechnet. Die Händler und damit die Verbraucher könnten damit 200 Millionen Euro im Jahr sparen, hieß es aus der EU-Kommission. Sänken die Preise für Transaktionen innerhalb der EU-Staaten auf ein ähnliches Niveau, könne es zwanzigmal so viel sein.
Nach Angaben von Mastercard ist das neue Preissystem „provisorisch“. Der Konzern hatte 2008 die Verrechnungspreise zunächst gestrichen, später im Jahr aber andere Gebühren, die Händler bezahlen müssen, erhöht. Auch diese Preiserhöhung wird zurückgenommen. Kroes kündigte an, die Umsetzung des neuen Preissystems zu überwachen. Die Kommission dringt darauf, dass auch Mastercard-Konkurrent Visa sein Preissystem anpasst. Auch hier läuft ein EU-Kartellverfahren.
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sind ein trauriges Symbol der Zeitungskrise in Amerika. Tageszeitungen aus Städten wie Denver oder Seattle haben in den vergangenen Wochen ihre letzten Exemplare produziert. Auf den Titelseiten standen Abschiedsformeln wie "Goodbye". Hinweise auf Gründungsdaten im neunzehnten Jahrhundert unterstrichen, welch traditionsreiche Institutionen verschwinden. Die Schlussausgaben werden jetzt als Souvenirs bei Ebay gehandelt.
Es ist zu fürchten, dass viele andere Titel folgen. Ein seit Jahren schleichender Niedergang der Branche hat sich rapide beschleunigt und bringt eine Reihe von Publikationen in Existenznot. Es scheint nur noch eine Frage der Zeit, bis eine amerikanische Großstadt ohne Lokalzeitung auskommen muss: Der Verleger des in seiner Stadt konkurrenzlosen "San Francisco Chronicle" droht mit der Einstellung des Blattes. Die mächtigsten Zeitungsadressen des Landes wanken.
Es ist der Tag, an dem die G-20-Länder eine Reform der Finanzmärkte beschließen und der Nato-Gipfel in Straßburg beginnt, und es ist der Tag, an dem Hunderte Afrikaner auf dem Überweg nach Europa ertrinken. Doch in den etwa hunderttausend deutschen Blogs, die das Internet sekündlich mit Text und Information fluten, findet sich dazu so gut wie nichts. Die Teilnehmer der größten deutschen Bloggerkonferenz „re:publica“, die sich jetzt zum dritten Mal in Berlin trafen, haben andere Prioritäten.
„Jeder ist Presse“, steht im Programmheft der Berliner Veranstaltung. Was das für Folgen für das eigene Tun hat, kann man am zweiten Tag sehen: Es findet eine „Twitter-Lesung“ statt, einer der Höhepunkte. Twitter ist ein Netzanbieter, auf dessen Internetseite man in höchstens 140 Zeichen einer sogenannten Community eigene Gedanken und Befindlichkeiten mitteilen kann. „Habe mir die Hände gewaschen“, „twittert“ einer der Teilnehmer aus dem Sanitärbereich des Veranstaltungsortes. „Hab wohl Tinnitus in den Augen - ich seh' nur Pfeifen“, lautet ein anderer Beitrag. „Was, es gibt eine gedruckte Version der New York Times? Verstehe, für die Obdachlosen“, ein dritter. Geballte Information.
Nach dem Einstieg einer Investmentfirma aus Abu Dhabi beim deutschen Autobauer Daimler könnte offenbar auch für den angeschlagenen Opel-Konzern Hilfe aus den Vereinigten Arabischen Emiraten kommen. Wie die in Essen erscheinende „Westdeutsche Allgemeine Zeitung“ (Samstagsausgabe) berichtet, hat der nordrhein-westfälische Ministerpräsident Jürgen Rüttgers (CDU) bereits ein Sondierungsgespräch mit Scheich Hamdan, einem hohen Mitglied der Königsfamilie von Abu Dhabi, geführt. Dem Vernehmen nach wolle das Emirat nun einen Einstieg bei Opel prüfen. Neben Opel sei aber auch über mehr als 20 Unternehmen aus NRW gesprochen worden, die an Investitionen interessiert seien.
Ein Regierungssprecher in Nordrhein-Westfalen bestätigte der „WAZ“ das Treffen. „Sondierungen finden statt“, sagte er. Es seien weitere Gespräche auf Arbeitsebene zwischen dem Emirat und NRW vereinbart worden. Rüttgers sei auch zu einem Staatsbesuch nach Abu Dhabi eingeladen worden.
US-Präsident Barack Obama will sich für eine Welt ohne Atomwaffen stark machen. "Dieses Wochenende in Prag werde ich eine Agenda vorlegen, um das Ziel einer Welt ohne Nuklearwaffen zu verfolgen", sagte Obama am Freitag wenige Stunden vor Beginn des Nato-Gipfels in Straßburg.
Auch nach dem Ende des Kalten Krieges könne die Verbreitung von Atomwaffen oder der Diebstahl von radioaktivem Material zur Vernichtung von jeder Stadt auf dem Planeten führen, sagte Obama bei einer Veranstaltung mit mehreren tausend deutschen, französischen und amerikanischen Schülern. "Wir stehen vor Gefahren, die nicht von Grenzen oder den fernsten Ozeanen aufgehalten werden können", sagte er. Obama betonte, nachdem es in den vergangenen Jahren manche Differenzen in den transatlantischen Beziehungen gegeben habe, sei es an der Zeit, sich wieder näher zu kommen. "Amerika hat sich geändert" - aber Amerika könne nicht das einzige Land sein, das sich verändere. Es beginne eine neue Ära der Verantwortung. Zugleich beschwor Obama eine neue Freundschaft zwischen Amerika und Europa. "Europa sollte nicht denken, das die USA die Lasten allein schultern können." Er sei nach Europa gekommen, um die Partnerschaft zu erneuern.
Beim US-Flugzeugbauer Boeing sind die Bestellungen im ersten Quartal drastisch eingebrochen. Insgesamt 28 Aufträgen standen angesichts der Wirtschaftskrise 32 Kündigungen früherer Bestellungen gegenüber.
Der Orderbestand beim Konkurrenten des europäischen Herstellers Airbus sank damit unter dem Strich um vier Flugzeuge. Im Vorjahresquartal hatte Boeing noch 289 Bestellungen erhalten, im gesamten Jahr 2008 waren es 668.
Wegen des dadurch dick gefüllten Orderbuchs stiegen die Auslieferungen fertiggestellter Maschinen im laufenden Jahr von Januar bis März um gut fünf Prozent auf 121 Flugzeuge, wie Boeing am Freitag am Sitz in Chicago (Illinois)
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